CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
9
2
1
11
14

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
2
3
14
18
23
55
1
0
8
9
15
19
33
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
7
14
21
7
0
7
14
7
0
57
64
14
7
79
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
3
4
21
27
34
82
1
0
12
13
22
28
49
100

hitrate: 0.571 hitrate: 0.388
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 2.00 0.82
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.20 2.89 0.27
Heidke skill score: 0.357 Heidke skill score: 0.082
true Heidke skill score: 0.056 true Heidke skill score: 0.114
Kuipers skill score: 0.357 Kuipers skill score: 0.082
true Kuipers skill score: 0.071 true Kuipers skill score: 0.126
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.321 0.235
equitable threat score:
-0.094 -0.050 0.188
equitable threat score:
-0.039 0.059 0.121
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.727
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.242
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.673 0.111
samples: 14 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 20.90 %coverage: 100.00