CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
14
17
2
3
17
22

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
2
4
13
16
17
46
1
2
14
17
15
19
33
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
5
9
18
0
0
5
5
5
9
64
77
9
14
77
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
3
6
19
24
25
69
1
3
21
25
22
28
49
100

hitrate: 0.682 hitrate: 0.463
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.00 0.33 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.27 2.42 0.52
Heidke skill score: 0.523 Heidke skill score: 0.194
true Heidke skill score: 0.163 true Heidke skill score: 0.194
Kuipers skill score: 0.523 Kuipers skill score: 0.194
true Kuipers skill score: 0.165 true Kuipers skill score: 0.207
threat score:
0.200 0.000 0.700
threat score:
0.056 0.327 0.389
equitable threat score:
0.137 -0.035 0.126
equitable threat score:
0.006 0.082 0.204
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.824
probability of detection:
0.067 0.842 0.424
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 1.000 0.176
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.652 0.176
samples: 22 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 32.84 %coverage: 100.00