CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200109-200111

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
20
43
66
0
1
0
1
3
21
43
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
30
64
99
0
1
0
1
4
31
64
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.299
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.14 0.02
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.052
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.029
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.052
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.041
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.299 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.952 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.697 1.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00