CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200110-200112

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
7
57
65
0
0
2
2
1
7
59
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
0
0
67
67
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
10
85
97
0
0
3
3
1
10
88
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.134
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 9.29 0.03
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.299
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.008
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.299
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.031
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.108 0.034
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.034
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.892 0.000
samples: 3 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 4.48 %coverage: 100.00