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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
7
8
0
1
7
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
2
56
59
0
1
7
8
1
3
63
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
88
100
0
13
88
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
3
84
88
0
1
10
12
1
4
94
100

hitrate: 0.875 hitrate: 0.134
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.14
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 19.67 0.13
Heidke skill score: 0.812 Heidke skill score: -0.299
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.020
Kuipers skill score: 0.812 Kuipers skill score: -0.299
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.153
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.875
threat score:
0.000 0.033 0.109
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.011 -0.009
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.966 0.125
samples: 8 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 11.94 %coverage: 100.00