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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
1
3
62
66
0
0
0
0
1
3
63
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
1
4
93
99
0
0
0
0
1
4
94
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.045
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 22.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.433
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.433
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.045 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.008 0.001 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.955 0.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00