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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
26
30
0
4
26
30

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
14
18
35
0
4
26
30
3
18
44
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
87
100
0
13
87
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
22
28
54
0
6
40
46
5
28
68
100

hitrate: 0.867 hitrate: 0.615
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.15
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.94 0.68
Heidke skill score: 0.800 Heidke skill score: 0.423
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.286
Kuipers skill score: 0.800 Kuipers skill score: 0.423
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.332
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.867
threat score:
0.000 0.359 0.542
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.147 0.206
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.778 0.591
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.133
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.133
samples: 30 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 46.15 %coverage: 100.00