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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
34
37
0
3
34
37

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
15
10
28
0
3
34
37
3
18
44
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
92
100
0
8
92
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
23
15
43
0
5
52
57
5
28
68
100

hitrate: 0.919 hitrate: 0.754
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.09
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.56 0.84
Heidke skill score: 0.878 Heidke skill score: 0.631
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.503
Kuipers skill score: 0.878 Kuipers skill score: 0.631
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.538
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.919
threat score:
0.000 0.484 0.723
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.312 0.408
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.833 0.773
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.081
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.464 0.081
samples: 37 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 56.92 %coverage: 100.00