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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
33
36
0
3
33
36

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
15
11
29
0
3
33
36
3
18
44
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
92
100
0
8
92
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
23
17
45
0
5
51
55
5
28
68
100

hitrate: 0.917 hitrate: 0.738
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.09
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.61 0.82
Heidke skill score: 0.875 Heidke skill score: 0.608
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.479
Kuipers skill score: 0.875 Kuipers skill score: 0.608
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.518
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.917
threat score:
0.000 0.469 0.702
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.291 0.381
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.833 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.483 0.083
samples: 36 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 55.38 %coverage: 100.00