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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
36
36
0
0
36
36

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
12
18
31
0
0
36
36
1
12
54
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
18
27
46
0
0
54
54
1
18
81
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.716
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.58 0.67
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.575
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.414
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.575
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.630
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.387 0.667
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.253 0.280
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.613 0.000
samples: 36 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 53.73 %coverage: 100.00