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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
38
38
0
0
38
38

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
12
16
29
0
0
38
38
1
12
54
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
18
24
43
0
0
57
57
1
18
81
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.746
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.42 0.70
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.619
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.455
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.619
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.665
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.414 0.704
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.286 0.315
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.704
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.586 0.000
samples: 38 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 56.72 %coverage: 100.00