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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
28
28
0
0
28
28

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
12
26
39
0
0
28
28
1
12
54
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
18
39
58
0
0
42
42
1
18
81
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.597
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.25 0.52
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.396
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.279
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.396
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.490
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.308 0.519
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.157 0.173
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.519
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.692 0.000
samples: 28 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 41.79 %coverage: 100.00