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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
12
51
64
0
0
3
3
1
12
54
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
18
76
96
0
0
4
4
1
18
81
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.224
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.33 0.06
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.164
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.021
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.164
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.053
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.188 0.056
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.011
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.056
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.812 0.000
samples: 3 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 4.48 %coverage: 100.00