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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
12
53
66
0
0
1
1
1
12
54
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
18
79
99
0
0
1
1
1
18
81
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.194
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.50 0.02
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.209
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.007
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.209
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.182 0.019
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.003 0.004
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.019
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.818 0.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00