CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200202-200204

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
9
11
1
1
9
11

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
12
24
20
56
1
1
9
11
13
25
29
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
9
82
100
9
9
82
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
36
30
84
1
1
13
16
19
37
43
100

hitrate: 0.818 hitrate: 0.493
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.22
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.24 0.38
Heidke skill score: 0.727 Heidke skill score: 0.239
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.178
Kuipers skill score: 0.727 Kuipers skill score: 0.239
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.172
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.818
threat score:
0.000 0.421 0.290
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.086 0.162
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.960 0.310
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.182
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.571 0.182
samples: 11 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 16.42 %coverage: 100.00