CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203-200205

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
7
3
3
6
12
10
3
6
19

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
22
10
54
3
3
6
12
25
25
16
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
0
0
37
16
16
32
63
53
16
32
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
33
15
82
5
5
9
18
38
38
24
100

hitrate: 0.316 hitrate: 0.424
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.33 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.16 0.75
Heidke skill score: -0.026 Heidke skill score: 0.136
true Heidke skill score: 0.078 true Heidke skill score: 0.109
Kuipers skill score: -0.026 Kuipers skill score: 0.136
true Kuipers skill score: 0.097 true Kuipers skill score: 0.107
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.386 0.273
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.124 0.269
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.042 0.162
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.880 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.593 0.500
samples: 19 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 28.79 %coverage: 100.00