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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204-200206

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
21
32
67
0
0
0
0
14
21
32
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
31
48
100
0
0
0
0
21
31
48
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.313
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.19 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.030
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.030
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.313 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.687 0.000
samples: 2 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 2.99 %coverage: 100.00