CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205-200207

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
4
8
3
3
5
11

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
7
27
25
59
2
2
4
8
9
29
29
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
9
9
9
27
18
18
36
73
27
27
45
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
40
37
88
3
3
6
12
13
43
43
100

hitrate: 0.455 hitrate: 0.463
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 1.60
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.03 0.28
Heidke skill score: 0.182 Heidke skill score: 0.194
true Heidke skill score: 0.083 true Heidke skill score: 0.053
Kuipers skill score: 0.182 Kuipers skill score: 0.194
true Kuipers skill score: 0.077 true Kuipers skill score: 0.049
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.444
threat score:
0.000 0.443 0.121
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.043 0.068
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.041 0.018
probability of detection:
0.000 0.333 0.800
probability of detection:
0.000 0.931 0.138
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.542 0.500
samples: 11 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 16.42 %coverage: 100.00