CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200206-200208

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
14
22
4
4
15
23

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
14
29
45
4
4
14
22
6
18
43
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
17
17
61
96
17
17
65
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
21
43
67
6
6
21
33
9
27
64
100

hitrate: 0.609 hitrate: 0.418
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.25 1.47
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.50 0.51
Heidke skill score: 0.413 Heidke skill score: 0.127
true Heidke skill score: -0.062 true Heidke skill score: 0.044
Kuipers skill score: 0.413 Kuipers skill score: 0.127
true Kuipers skill score: -0.044 true Kuipers skill score: 0.053
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.609
threat score:
0.000 0.286 0.275
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.036 -0.040
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.052 -0.003
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.933
probability of detection:
0.000 0.778 0.326
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.364
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.689 0.364
samples: 23 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 34.33 %coverage: 100.00