CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207-200209

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
9
10
1
6
19
26
1
7
28
36

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
8
31
41
1
6
19
26
3
14
50
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
3
25
28
3
17
53
72
3
19
78
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
12
46
61
1
9
28
39
4
21
75
100

hitrate: 0.556 hitrate: 0.403
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.43 0.93
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.93 0.52
Heidke skill score: 0.333 Heidke skill score: 0.104
true Heidke skill score: -0.157 true Heidke skill score: -0.025
Kuipers skill score: 0.333 Kuipers skill score: 0.104
true Kuipers skill score: -0.169 true Kuipers skill score: -0.036
threat score:
0.000 0.062 0.543
threat score:
0.000 0.170 0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.067 -0.083
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.011
probability of detection:
0.000 0.143 0.679
probability of detection:
0.000 0.571 0.380
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.900 0.269
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.805 0.269
samples: 36 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 53.73 %coverage: 100.00