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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200208-200210

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
6
4
20
10
6
4
20

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
8
25
46
10
6
4
20
23
14
29
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
30
20
100
50
30
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
12
38
70
15
9
6
30
35
21
44
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.182
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.29 0.69
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.227
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.138
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.227
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.155
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.154 0.089
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.042 -0.132
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.571 0.138
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.800
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.826 0.800
samples: 20 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 30.30 %coverage: 100.00