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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0
5
2
3
1
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
31
13
61
2
3
0
5
19
34
13
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
17
33
50
0
83
33
50
17
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
47
20
92
3
5
0
8
29
52
20
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.470
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.33 5.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.79 0.38
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.205
true Heidke skill score: -0.286 true Heidke skill score: -0.042
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.205
true Kuipers skill score: -0.364 true Kuipers skill score: -0.035
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.484 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.143 -0.161
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.013 -0.058
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.912 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.492 1.000
samples: 6 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 9.09 %coverage: 100.00