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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210-200212

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
34
9
64
0
2
0
2
21
36
9
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
0
67
0
67
0
67
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
52
14
97
0
3
0
3
32
55
14
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.515
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.50 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.78 0.22
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.273
true Heidke skill score: -0.800 true Heidke skill score: -0.038
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.273
true Kuipers skill score: -1.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.031
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.515 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.286 -0.286
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.029 -0.025
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.944 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.469 1.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00