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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210-200212

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
21
36
8
65
0
0
0
0
21
36
9
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
32
55
12
98
0
0
0
0
32
55
14
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.545
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 1.81 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.318
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.008
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.318
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.554 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 0.018 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.446 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00