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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211-200301

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
8
27
64
0
0
2
2
29
8
29
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
12
41
97
0
0
3
3
44
12
44
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.152
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.00 0.07
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.273
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.024
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.273
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.034
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.069
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 0.040
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.069
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.875 0.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00