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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211-200301

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
8
28
65
0
0
1
1
29
8
29
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
12
42
98
0
0
2
2
44
12
44
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.136
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.12 0.03
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.295
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.012
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.295
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.017
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.123 0.034
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.002 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.034
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.877 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00