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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200212-200302

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
13
22
63
0
0
2
2
28
13
24
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
43
20
34
97
0
0
3
3
43
20
37
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.231
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.85 0.08
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.154
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.032
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.154
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.040
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.206 0.083
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.008 0.054
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.083
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.794 0.000
samples: 2 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 3.08 %coverage: 100.00