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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200212-200302

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Temp 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
13
24
64
1
0
0
1
28
13
24
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
42
20
37
98
2
0
0
2
43
20
37
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.200
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.92 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.200
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.200
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.203 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.004 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.797 1.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00