CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199507-199509

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
7
2
1
10
0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
7
3
3
13

contingency table
fcst
obs
7
2
1
10
17
21
10
48
0
0
0
0
24
23
11
58

% contingency table
fcst
obs
54
15
8
77
0
8
15
23
0
0
0
0
54
23
23
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
12
3
2
17
29
36
17
83
0
0
0
0
41
40
19
100

hitrate: 0.615 hitrate: 0.483
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.43 1.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.42 2.09 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.423 Heidke skill score: 0.224
true Heidke skill score: 0.278 true Heidke skill score: 0.139
Kuipers skill score: 0.423 Kuipers skill score: 0.224
true Kuipers skill score: 0.245 true Kuipers skill score: 0.131
threat score:
0.700 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.259 0.420 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.350 0.071 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.125 0.063 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.333 0.000
probability of detection:
0.292 0.913 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.300 0.667 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.300 0.562 0.000
samples: 13 out of 58 samples: 58 out of 58
%coverage: 22.41 %coverage: 100.00