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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
18
15
23
56
0
0
0
0
19
15
23
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
32
26
40
98
0
0
0
0
33
26
40
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.281
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 3.73 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.079
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.022
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.079
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.025
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.053 0.268 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.036 0.006 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.053 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.732 0.000
samples: 1 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 1.75 %coverage: 100.00