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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
26
29
48
103
0
0
0
0
26
29
50
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
25
28
46
98
0
0
0
0
25
28
48
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.276
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 3.55 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.086
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.086
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.282 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.018 0.007 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.718 0.000
samples: 2 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 1.90 %coverage: 100.00