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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
8
15
33
56
0
0
0
0
8
15
34
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
2
2
14
26
58
98
0
0
0
0
14
26
60
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.12 3.73 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.268 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.016 0.006 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.732 0.000
samples: 1 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 1.75 %coverage: 100.00