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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
27
44
103
0
2
0
2
32
29
44
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
26
42
98
0
2
0
2
30
28
42
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.257
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.55 0.05
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.114
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.030
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.114
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.033
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.257 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.019 -0.019
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.931 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.738 1.000
samples: 2 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 1.90 %coverage: 100.00