CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199612-199702

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
39
37
102
2
0
1
3
28
39
38
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
0
33
100
67
0
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
37
35
97
2
0
1
3
27
37
36
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.381
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.62 0.08
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.071
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.016
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.071
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.015
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.382 0.025
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.017 -0.002
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.026
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.618 0.667
samples: 3 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 2.86 %coverage: 100.00