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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199801-199803

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
18
77
103
0
0
3
3
8
18
80
106

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
17
73
97
0
0
3
3
8
17
75
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.198
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 5.72 0.04
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.203
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.014
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.203
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.030
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.175 0.038
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 0.009
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.038
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.825 0.000
samples: 3 out of 106 samples: 106 out of 106
%coverage: 2.83 %coverage: 100.00