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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199802-199804

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
27
63
100
0
0
5
5
10
27
68
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
10
26
60
95
0
0
5
5
10
26
65
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.305
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.70 0.07
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.043
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.040
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.043
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.057
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.270 0.074
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.017 0.027
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.074
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.730 0.000
samples: 5 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 4.76 %coverage: 100.00