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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199811-199901

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
24
17
61
1
0
0
1
21
24
17
62

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
39
27
98
2
0
0
2
34
39
27
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.387
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.54 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.081
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.003
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.081
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.003
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.393 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.607 1.000
samples: 1 out of 62 samples: 62 out of 62
%coverage: 1.61 %coverage: 100.00