CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199907-199909

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
19
21
62
0
0
1
1
22
19
22
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
35
30
33
98
0
0
2
2
35
30
35
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.317
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.26 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.024
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.022
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.024
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.306 0.045
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 0.030
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.045
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.694 0.000
samples: 1 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 1.59 %coverage: 100.00