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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
0
5
25
22
11
58
0
0
0
0
30
22
11
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
8
0
0
8
40
35
17
92
0
0
0
0
48
35
17
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.429
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.17 2.64 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.143
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.108
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.143
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.112
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.167 0.379 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.095 0.046 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.167 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.621 0.000
samples: 5 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 7.94 %coverage: 100.00