CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
0
3
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
0
3
27
22
11
60
0
0
0
0
30
22
11
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
60
0
0
60
40
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
0
5
43
35
17
95
0
0
0
0
48
35
17
100

hitrate: 0.600 hitrate: 0.397
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.60 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.73 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.400 Heidke skill score: 0.095
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.064
Kuipers skill score: 0.400 Kuipers skill score: 0.095
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.067
threat score:
0.600 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.100 0.367 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.055 0.027 0.000
probability of detection:
0.600 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.100 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.633 0.000
samples: 5 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 7.94 %coverage: 100.00