CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200108-200110

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
2
4
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
25
22
13
60
0
2
0
2
26
25
13
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
17
17
0
33
17
17
0
33
0
33
0
33
33
67
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
0
3
39
34
20
94
0
3
0
3
41
39
20
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.359
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.50 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 2.40 0.15
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.039
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.042
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.039
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.040
threat score:
0.333 0.200 0.000
threat score:
0.037 0.349 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.143 -0.091 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.007 -0.036 -0.028
probability of detection:
0.500 0.250 0.000
probability of detection:
0.038 0.880 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.500 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.633 1.000
samples: 6 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 9.38 %coverage: 100.00