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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200203-200205

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
0
5
4
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
9
0
0
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
0
5
29
18
11
58
0
0
0
0
34
18
11
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
56
0
0
56
44
0
0
44
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
8
0
0
8
46
29
17
92
0
0
0
0
54
29
17
100

hitrate: 0.556 hitrate: 0.365
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.56 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.15 3.22 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.333 Heidke skill score: 0.048
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.085
Kuipers skill score: 0.333 Kuipers skill score: 0.048
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.099
threat score:
0.556 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.147 0.310 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.074 0.034 0.000
probability of detection:
0.556 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.147 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.690 0.000
samples: 9 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 14.29 %coverage: 100.00