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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200204-200206

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
18
15
64
0
0
0
0
31
18
15
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
48
28
23
100
0
0
0
0
48
28
23
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.281
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.56 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.078
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.078
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.281 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.719 0.000
samples: 1 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 1.56 %coverage: 100.00