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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200205-200207

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
17
14
63
1
0
0
1
33
17
14
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
50
50
0
0
50
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
27
22
98
2
0
0
2
52
27
22
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.266
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.71 0.07
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.102
true Heidke skill score: -0.333 true Heidke skill score: 0.001
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.102
true Kuipers skill score: -0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.001
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.270 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.333
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.006 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.730 1.000
samples: 2 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 3.12 %coverage: 100.00