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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200206-200208

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
34
19
10
63
0
0
0
0
35
19
10
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
0
0
33
0
67
0
67
0
0
0
0
33
67
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
53
30
16
98
0
0
0
0
55
30
16
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.312
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 1.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.03 3.32 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.031
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.017
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.031
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.020
threat score:
1.000 1.000 0.000
threat score:
0.029 0.302 0.000
equitable threat score:
1.000 1.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.013 0.007 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.029 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.698 0.000
samples: 3 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 4.69 %coverage: 100.00