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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200207-200209

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
22
11
63
1
0
0
1
31
22
11
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
47
34
17
98
2
0
0
2
48
34
17
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.344
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.86 0.09
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.016
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.004
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.016
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.004
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.349 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.008 -0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.651 1.000
samples: 1 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 1.56 %coverage: 100.00