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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209-200211

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
22
19
21
62
0
0
0
0
22
20
21
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
35
30
33
98
0
0
0
0
35
32
33
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.302
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 3.10 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.048
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.048
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.302 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.016 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.694 0.000
samples: 1 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 1.59 %coverage: 100.00