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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199501-199503

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
45
51
0
0
5
5
0
6
50
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
11
80
91
0
0
9
9
0
11
89
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.196
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 8.50 0.10
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.205
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.023
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.205
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.100
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.118 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.012 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.882 0.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00