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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199508-199510

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Temp 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
5
0
5
0
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
14
35
51
0
5
0
5
2
19
35
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
25
63
91
0
9
0
9
4
34
63
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.68 0.14
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.181
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.233
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.250 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.085 -0.085
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.737 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.725 1.000
samples: 5 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 8.93 %coverage: 100.00