CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199508-199510

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
19
13
13
45
2
4
6
12
0
0
0
0
21
17
19
57

contingency table
fcst
obs
19
13
13
45
2
4
6
12
0
0
0
0
21
17
19
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
23
23
79
4
7
11
21
0
0
0
0
37
30
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
23
23
79
4
7
11
21
0
0
0
0
37
30
33
100

hitrate: 0.404 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.14 0.71 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.14 0.71 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.105 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.077 true Heidke skill score: 0.077
Kuipers skill score: 0.105 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.075 true Kuipers skill score: 0.075
threat score:
0.404 0.160 0.000
threat score:
0.404 0.160 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.080 0.020 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.080 0.020 0.000
probability of detection:
0.905 0.235 0.000
probability of detection:
0.905 0.235 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.578 0.667 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.578 0.667 0.000
samples: 57 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00